19 January 2009

Predictions for ISML Prelims Round 2

After analyzing the data for Round 1, the following values have led me to give the odds for advancement for these characters. Any character not listed has odds of less than 5% to advance in round 2.
--Xander

Odds to Advance

Contestant

Weighted Percentage (SDA Method)

50%

 Sawatari Makoto

14.93%

50%

 Kamio Misuzu

14.93%

50%

 Kirisame Marisa

14.09%

50%

 Seto San

13.04%

30%

 Kushieda Minori

12.72%

30%

 Kozuki Kallen

12.48%

30%

 Anya Alstreim

11.73%

30%

 Katagiri Yuhi

11.70%

10%

 Kagura

11.03%

10%

 Ryogi Shiki

10.72%

9%

 Patchouli Knowledge

10.82%

8%

 Shinku

10.68%

8%

 Remilia Scarlet

10.01%

7%

 Alice Carroll

10.03%

5%

 Vita

9.92%

5%

 Sunohara Mei

9.40%

 Note: Contestants in each shaded group predicted to be in seperate venues.


4 comments:

  1. Crisu forced me sooo

    I am interested to find out how good your predictions actually are. Well we will find out after the next round.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Juicy I love you and your nerdiness.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Nice estimation! But I'm saddened to see that ef will again be shut out of advancement, acc to your estimates.

    So much zetsubou, and soooo early x.x

    ReplyDelete
  4. These are only predictions for Round 2, not the entirety of the Preliminaries. The data will change as the Rounds progress.

    ReplyDelete